Frost Advisory
Starts in 7 h 28 min
When
From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
Where
Portions of central, northeast, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation.
Impacts
Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Precautionary actions
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Areas: Frederick; Carroll; Northern Baltimore; Cecil; Northwest Montgomery; Northwest Howard; Northwest Harford; Southeast Harford; Rappahannock; Culpeper; Northern Fauquier; Southern Fauquier; Western Loudoun; Eastern Loudoun; Northwest Prince William; Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KHEF

The Plains, VA weather

Mostly cloudy and 63°17°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 63°17°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the southeast. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 33Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.5 inHg1033 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 70°21° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	47%	14%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	13%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	64%	13%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	77%	12%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	8%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	11%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	13%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	92%	16%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	4%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	8%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	10%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	80%	40%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	18%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	64%	18%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	58%	19%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	9%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	8%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	52%	9%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	52%	8%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	58%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	60%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	54%	7%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	42%	0%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	41%	0%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	44%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 35°2°. Typical 60°16° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Typical 59°15° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. South wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 36. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 59°15° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 44°7°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 49°9°. Typical 57°14° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
73°23°–74°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 57°14° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 56°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 56°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.48 in12 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°16°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
49°9°–64°18°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 36°.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 45°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 64–74°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Goose Creek near Leesburg

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 106 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sun 2 AM

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Catharpin Creek at US-15

7.4 mi

Level: 1.3 ft

Reading from Sat 4:40 PM · NWS gauge page

Goose Creek near Middleburg

8.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 37 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Broad Run at Rollins Ford Road

11 mi

Level: 3.9 ft

Reading from Sat 4:50 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 109

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Mount Weather 3 · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2017–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−4°SunOct 18
−5°−3°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+1°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
+1°FriOct 23
+1°±0°SatOct 24

The Plains weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:36 PM; Morning 7:13–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:47 PM; Morning 7:02–7:13 AM; first light 7:02 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:47 PM–7:03 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:42 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from The Plains. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 39 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Frost Advisory