Observed 2:15 PM EDT at KFRR

Toms Brook, VA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the east. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 32°0°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 30Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.49 inHg1033 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 34°1° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
TonightDown to 35°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 69°21° by 2 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	44%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	42%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	39%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	2%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	3%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	1%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	74%	3%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	7%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	12%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	53%	14%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	7%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	4%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	3%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	1%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	1%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	5%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	7%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	9%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	93%	3%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 58°14°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	10%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	9%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 59°15° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	42%	0%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	40%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 33°1°. Typical 65°18° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 33. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 39°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 65°18°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–72°22°
Low, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 64°18° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 63°17° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 37°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–76°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 62°17° / 36°2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–74°23°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 61°16° / 35°2°. Rain 0.51 in13 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°16°
  20% chance · 0.4 in10 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–77°25°
Low, likely
49°9°–63°17°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 35°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 34°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 72°, low 42°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

5.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 223 cfs

Forecast peak 2.0 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 526 cfs

Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 488 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Passage Creek near Buckton

9.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 22 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 4:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Woodstock 2 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1896–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Toms Brook weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:45–6:39 PM; Morning 7:15–8:09 AM
Blue hour: 6:39–6:49 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:49 PM–7:06 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Toms Brook. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,100 ft, 27 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Toms Brook, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

North Fork Shenandoah River near Strasburg

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

South Fork Shenandoah River at Luray

Passage Creek near Buckton

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon