Observed 1:15 PM EDT at KJYO

Upperville, VA weather

Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 1 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 30Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.56 inHg1035 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (61°16° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

High 62°17° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 36°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 65°18° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	49%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	44%	2%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	44%	6%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	8%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	8%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	51%	8%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	66%	11%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	68%	14%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	13%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	82%	10%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	9%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	92%	6%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	15%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	92%	12%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	12%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	7%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	68%	3%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	64%	6%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	57%	12%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	19%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	46%	17%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	48%	14%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	10%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	3%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	5%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	7%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	11%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	17%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	12%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	11%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	62%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	54%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 3am. Mostly clear, with a low around 36. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
35°2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 7am, then patchy frost and patchy fog between 7am and 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 63°17° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–69°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–47°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 68°20°, low 53°12°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  20% chance · 0.39 in9.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–77°25°
Low, likely
48°9°–64°18°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LWX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Goose Creek near Leesburg

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: 106 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sun 2 AM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.3 ft
Flow: 507 cfs

Forecast peak 1.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Goose Creek near Middleburg

4.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 37 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Spout Run near Millwood

8.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 96

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 25
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 15 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

PURCELLVILLE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1900–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−5°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
−4°−2°TueOct 20
+1°WedOct 21
−2°−1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
−4°−2°SatOct 24

Upperville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 50 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 24 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:37 PM; Morning 7:13–8:07 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:47 PM; Morning 7:03–7:13 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:47 PM–7:04 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:43 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Upperville. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,300 ft, 23 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Upperville, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Goose Creek near Leesburg

South Fork Shenandoah River at Front Royal

Goose Creek near Middleburg

Spout Run near Millwood

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon