Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 5 h 50 min
When
Until 2 PM EDT Saturday.
Where
Richmond, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Richmond; Lancaster; Middlesex; Mathews; Western Essex; Eastern Essex
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 7:50 AM EDT at KOFP

Warsaw, VA weather

Sunny and 43°6°.

Mostly agree

Now 43°6°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 43°6°, dew point 41°5° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.51 inHg1033 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.3 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 9 AM
High 62°17° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 43°6° tonight at 5 AM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (61°16° → 49°9°)

This morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 61°16° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 43°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	19%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	69%	26%	1
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	64%	34%	2
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	56%	47%	3
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	46%	4
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	52%	73%	3
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	50%	69%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	50%	59%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	53%	31%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	59%	43%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	50%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	83%	32%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	19%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	15%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	16%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	42%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	7%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	69%	11%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	64%	13%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	17%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	56%	23%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	13%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	14%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	47%	8%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	7%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	24%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	39%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	41%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	41%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	40%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 68°20° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 36°2°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 5am. Clear, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
64°18°–66°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–47°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy frost before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
36°2°–46°8°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 67°19° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 66°19° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–75°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 43°6°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 52°11°. Typical 65°18° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–72°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 43°6°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 57°14°. Typical 64°18° / 43°6°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–77°25°
Low, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 43°6°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 42°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rappahannock River at Tappahannock (IN MLLW)

6.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 1 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

St. George Creek at Straits Point (IN MLLW)

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sat 1 PM, action stage

Reading from Sat 6:24 AM · NWS gauge page

Piscataway Creek near TAPPAHANNOCK

9.6 mi

Level: 6.2 ft
Flow: 7 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 58% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 65

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 22
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Warsaw 2 NW · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Warsaw weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 53 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 21 min less
Golden hour: 5:41–6:33 PM; Morning 7:08–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:33–6:44 PM; Morning 6:57–7:08 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1–6:58 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:13 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Warsaw. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,900 ft, 22 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Warsaw, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Rappahannock River at Tappahannock (IN MLLW)

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

St. George Creek at Straits Point (IN MLLW)

Piscataway Creek near TAPPAHANNOCK

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon