Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 4 h 43 min
When
Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.
Where
Richmond, Lancaster, Middlesex, Mathews, Western Essex and Eastern Essex Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Wakefield VA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: Richmond; Lancaster; Middlesex; Mathews; Western Essex; Eastern Essex
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 7:55 AM EDT at KFYJ

Weems, VA weather

Sunny and 47°8°.

Mostly agree

Now 47°8°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point: 44°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.49 inHg1033 hPa; Rising · +0.04 inHg+1.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° warmer than this time yesterday (42°5° then, 47°8° now)

Good hours for

High 62°17° today at 2 PM
Low 46°8° tonight at 5 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 11 AM

This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 61°16° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 46°8° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 2 AM · Clear
Monday morningNear 44°7° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	50°10°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	80%	34%	0
Sat 10a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	69%	60%	1
Sat 11a	Mostly cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	67%	44%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	60%	70%	3
Sat 1p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	58%	70%	3
Sat 2p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	56%	72%	3
Sat 3p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	56%	69%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	56%	71%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	60%	62%	0
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	62%	49%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	69%	55%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	31%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	83%	18%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	50°10°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	86%	8%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	15%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	93%	34%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	96%	38%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	26%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	1%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	72%	7%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	67%	11%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	62%	11%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	60%	11%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	58%	8%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	9%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	11%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	52%	15%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	72%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	2%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	89%	6%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	4%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	14%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	15%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	97%	20%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	97%	23%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	25%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 9 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 66°19° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 47°8°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 65°18° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 52°11°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–52°11°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 64°18° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
49°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 45°7°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 54°12°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–73°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 59°15°. Typical 63°17° / 44°7°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–77°25°
Low, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 43°.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 65–72°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AKQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chesapeake Bay at Windmill Point (IN MLLW)

9.4 mi

Action stage

Level: 2.8 ft

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 9 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

York River near West Point (IN MLLW)

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.0 ft

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sat 10 AM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 12 PM, minor flooding

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Piankatank River above Wharf Creek near Hudgins VA (IN MLLW)

14 mi

Action stage

Level: 2.5 ft

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 9 AM, action stage

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 23Typical 67

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 15
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 44°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

North · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2000–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Weems weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 20 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:33 PM; Morning 7:06–7:59 AM
Blue hour: 6:33–6:43 PM; Morning 6:56–7:06 AM; first light 6:56 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 3–6:57 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:36 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Weems. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory

Weems, VA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Chesapeake Bay at Windmill Point (IN MLLW)

York River near West Point (IN MLLW)

Potomac River at Lewisetta (IN MLLW)

Piankatank River above Wharf Creek near Hudgins VA (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon