Observed 7:20 AM EDT at KBTV

Fairfax, VT weather

Mostly sunny and 28°−2°, 12°7° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 28°−2°

Mostly sunny · Feels like 25°−4°

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east-northeast. Light through 7 PM
Dew point: 25°−4°; Dry · up to 33°1° by 12 PM
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 1–2 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 24Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.56 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Hard freeze until 9 AM (low 27°−3°)
Above 40°4° today by 11 AM
High 56°13° today at 4 PM

This morningUp to 45°7° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
This afternoonUp to 56°13° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 34°1° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 7a	Sunny	27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 30°−1°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	11%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 26°−3° to 31°−1°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	1%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	70%	3%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	60%	2%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	54%	1%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	46%	0%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	41%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	40%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	54%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	78%	1%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	85%	1%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	78%	2%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	1%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	63%	1%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	56%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	0%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	41%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	38%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	49%	40%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	52%	40%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	34%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	58%	58%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	76%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	65%	80%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	70%	69%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	68%	74%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	59%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	76%	71%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	76%	77%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	79%	82%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	82%	61%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 32°0°. Typical 44°7° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 29°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
26°−3°–32°0°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 32°0°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 44°7° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–63°17°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 31°−1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 28°−2°. Typical 44°7° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 5% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. Northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
28°−2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 31°−1°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 46°8°, low 24°−4°. Typical 43°6° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 27°−3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 46. North wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 24. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Low, likely
24°−4°–31°−1°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 43°6° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 52. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 0 to 6 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Low, likely
25°−4°–34°1°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 30°−1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 60°16°, low 43°6°. Typical 42°6° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 54°12°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 60°16°).
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 59°15°, low 36°2°. Typical 42°6° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Northwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
36°2°–49°9°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 30°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 42°6° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–60°16°
Low, likely
31°−1°–53°12°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 41°5° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–66°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–53°12°
Typical high / low
41°5° / 29°−2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 41°5° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–61°16°
Low, likely
33°1°–53°12°
Typical high / low
41°5° / 28°−2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 56°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 39°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 58°, low 28°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 46–62°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BTV) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Lamoille River at East Georgia

3.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 283 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 5:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Winooski River at Essex Junction

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 337 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Lamoille River at Johnson

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 112 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 5:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Missisquoi River at Swanton

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft
Flow: 324 cfs

Forecast peak 1.1 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 39Typical 197

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 25°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

Sun, 3:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Mount Mansfield · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1954–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−9°−5°SunOct 18
+7°+4°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
+4°+2°ThuOct 22
−4°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Fairfax weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 33 min; Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 45 min less
Golden hour: 5:11–6:10 PM; Morning 7:00–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:10–6:22 PM; Morning 6:49–7:00 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:22 PM–6:50 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:27 AM · rises 4:50 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Fairfax. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,300 ft, 13 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Fairfax, VT weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Lamoille River at East Georgia

Winooski River at Essex Junction

Lamoille River at Johnson

Missisquoi River at Swanton

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon