Observed 2:15 PM PDT at KAWO

Conway, WA weather

Overcast and 46°8°.

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Cloudy

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north-northwest. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 2Low; Low all day (peak 2)
Air quality: 25Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.15 inHg1021 hPa; Falling · −0.07 inHg−2.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

9°5° cooler than this time yesterday (55°13° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 2 AM
Rain tonight 2–7 AM (40%, 0.08 in2 mm)
Low 44°7° tomorrow at 7 AM

This afternoonNear 53°12° · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
TonightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Rain 2–6 AM (40%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Rain 6–7 AM (30%)
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 57°14° by 4 PM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 4 AM · rain chance 20% · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	78%	99%	1
Sat 3p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	76%	98%	1
Sat 4p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	100%	0
Sat 5p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	53°12°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	74%	89%	0
Sat 6p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	97%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	50°10°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	78%	98%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	48°9°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	79%	98%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	79%	99%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	45°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	97%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	81%	99%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	81%	99%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	82%	99%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	45°7°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	81%	98%	0
Sun 3a	Rain	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	99%	0
Sun 4a	Rain	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 45°7°)	44°7°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	99%	0
Sun 5a	Rain	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	99%	0
Sun 6a	Rain	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	82%	99%	0
Sun 7a	Rain	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	100%	0
Sun 8a	Rain	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	43°6°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	100%	0
Sun 9a	Rain	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	88%	99%	0
Sun 10a	Drizzle	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	94%	97%	0
Sun 11a	Drizzle	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	93%	96%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	90%	97%	1
Sun 1p	Drizzle	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	55°13°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	82%	99%	1
Sun 2p	Rain	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	78%	99%	2
Sun 3p	Drizzle	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	77%	99%	1
Sun 4p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	57°14°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	79%	98%	1
Sun 5p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	77%	87%	0
Sun 6p	Rain	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	79%	91%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	85%	99%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	88%	98%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	88%	91%	0
Sun 10p	Drizzle	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	89%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	91%	68%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	92%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	93%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	93%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	91%	93%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	91%	94%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	91%	98%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	89%	96%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	89%	99%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	81%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	92%	80%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	95%	82%	1
Mon 11a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	95%	64%	2
Mon 12p	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	91%	56%	2
Mon 1p	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from WNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	84%	76%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 45°7°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Cloudy. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. North wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: A chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 43, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. East wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
35°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 44°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 45°7°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Cloudy. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 7pm. Cloudy, with a low around 42. East northeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–58°14°
Low, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 44°7°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  30% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. North wind around 3 mph.
Night: A chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 44°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 56°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  80% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  90% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.
Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 53°12°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  80% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  80% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  70% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 53.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 44°7°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
2
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 52°11°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Low, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 35°2°. Typical 57°14° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Low, likely
32°0°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 43°6°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–50°10°
Low, likely
35°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 57°14° / 43°6°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 43°6°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 43 mph70 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 42°6°. Typical 56°13° / 43°6°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°9°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Low, likely
41°5°–44°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 43°6°
Wind
20 mph31 km/h, gusts 45 mph72 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 55°, low 43°.
Tomorrow
34% chance of rain, high 58°, low 42°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 58°, low 42°.
Rest of week
Highs 49–56°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SEW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Skagit River near Mt Vernon

7.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.8 ft
Flow: 6,940 cfs

Forecast peak 10.8 ft Tue 4 AM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Stillaguamish River at Arlington

14 mi

Level: 0.0 ft

Forecast peak 1.5 ft Wed 5 PM

Reading from Sat 7:35 AM · NWS gauge page

North Fork Stillaguamish River near Arlington

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.4 ft
Flow: 177 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Tue 4 AM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

South Fork Stillaguamish River at Jordan Rd. Bridge

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 201 ft
Flow: 135 cfs

Forecast peak 203 ft Tue 4 AM

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 100

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 26
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

WHIDBEY ISLAND NAS · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Conway weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 20 min; Losing 3 min 22 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 2 h 1 min less
Golden hour: 5:19–6:23 PM; Morning 7:23–8:27 AM
Blue hour: 6:23–6:35 PM; Morning 7:10–7:23 AM; first light 7:10 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 99% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:58 AM · rises 5:05 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Conway. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,700 ft, 38 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Conway, WA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Skagit River near Mt Vernon

Stillaguamish River at Arlington

North Fork Stillaguamish River near Arlington

South Fork Stillaguamish River at Jordan Rd. Bridge

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon