Model estimate for 3:00 AM PDT (no recent station report)

Lake Marcel-Stillwater, WA weather

Mostly cloudy and 36°2°.

Mostly agree

Now 36°2°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: Calm; Light through 3 PM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable · up to 44°7° by 3 PM
Humidity: 100%; Air 36°2°, dew point 36°2° · frost likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 1–2 PM · peak 3
Air today: 33Good; EPA forecast · PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 40°4° today by 11 AM
High 54°12° today at 4 PM
Rain tonight 5–7 AM (30%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
Dry break tomorrow 7–10 AM
Rain tomorrow 10 AM–2 PM (40%, 0.12 in3 mm)

TonightNear 36°2° · Mostly cloudy
This morningUp to 43°6° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 54°12° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 41°5° by 3 AM · Rain 5–6 AM (30%)
Tomorrow morningNear 43°6° · Rain 6–7 AM (30%)
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 55°13° by 4 PM · Rain noon–2 PM (40%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 1 AM · rain chance 30% · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3a	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	65%	0
Sat 4a	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	98%	71%	0
Sat 5a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	97%	73%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	69%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	78%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	95%	82%	0
Sat 9a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	35°2°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	77%	0
Sat 10a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	39°4°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	91%	81%	1
Sat 11a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	43°6°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	84%	88%	1
Sat 12p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	81%	86%	2
Sat 1p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	50°10°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	75%	81%	2
Sat 2p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	52°11°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	79%	2
Sat 3p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	72%	85%	1
Sat 4p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	54°12°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	91%	0
Sat 5p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	81%	83%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	85%	87%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	90%	88%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	93%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	89%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	87%	84%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	43°6°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	87%	85%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	85%	90%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	85%	95%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	84%	86%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	85%	98%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	41°5°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	80%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	84%	93%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	99%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	87%	99%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	40°4°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	92%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°)	39°4°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	93%	0
Sun 10a	Rain	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 52°11°)	41°5°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	99%	97%	1
Sun 11a	Rain	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 56°13°)	44°7°	40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	98%	95%	1
Sun 12p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 59°15°)	47°8°	40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	94%	98%	2
Sun 1p	Rain	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 61°16°)	52°11°	40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	100%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 61°16°)	54°12°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	100%	2
Sun 3p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 62°17°)	54°12°	10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	81%	98%	2
Sun 4p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 62°17°)	55°13°	10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	94%	2
Sun 5p	Rain	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	53°12°	30%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	88%	50%	1
Sun 6p	Rain	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	51°11°	30%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	91%	53%	0
Sun 7p	Rain	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	30%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	48%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	94%	60%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	94%	63%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	94%	63%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	20%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	94%	67%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	20%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	94%	89%	0
Mon 1a	Rain	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	20%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	94%	87%	0
Mon 2a	Rain	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	20%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	94%	83%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly cloudy. High 54°12°, low 34°1°. Typical 59°15° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. East wind around 1 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 34, with temperatures rising to around 36 overnight. East southeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 56°13°, low 40°4°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 40°4°
  40% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 47°8°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Northeast wind around 1 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. East northeast wind around 1 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–62°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 56°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: A slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 55°13°, low 39°4°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  70% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 53°12°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 50°10°
  70% chance · 0.2 in5.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Low, likely
36°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 57°14° / 39°4°. Rain 0.43 in11 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 42°5°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 40°5°
  20% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 53°12°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 53.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Low, likely
35°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph7 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 51°11°, low 35°2°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–56°13°
Low, likely
33°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–64°18°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 54°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
40% chance of rain, high 56°, low 40°.
Monday
Dry, high 56°, low 41°.
Rest of week
Highs 49–55°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SEW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Snoqualmie River near Carnation

2.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 44.4 ft
Flow: 493 cfs

Forecast peak 44.7 ft Thu 5 AM

Reading from Sat 12:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Snohomish River near Monroe

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.1 ft
Flow: 1,470 cfs

Forecast peak 0.3 ft Thu 5 AM

Reading from Sat 1:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Skykomish River near Gold Bar

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.2 ft
Flow: 398 cfs

Forecast peak 4.4 ft Wed 5 PM

Reading from Sat 1:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Snohomish River at Snohomish

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.1 ft

Forecast peak 16.9 ft Thu 10 AM

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 40Typical 114

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 33
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Startup 1 E · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1924–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lake Marcel-Stillwater weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 23 min; Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 58 min less
Golden hour: 5:19–6:22 PM; Morning 7:20–8:23 AM
Blue hour: 6:22–6:34 PM; Morning 7:08–7:20 AM; first light 7:08 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 71% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:56 AM · rises 5:04 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southeast from Lake Marcel-Stillwater. The highest point on the skyline is about 14,400 ft, 59 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lake Marcel-Stillwater, WA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Snoqualmie River near Carnation

Snohomish River near Monroe

Skykomish River near Gold Bar

Snohomish River at Snohomish

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon