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Observed 10:40 AM PDT at KPAE

Picnic Point, WA weather

Overcast and 48°9°, rain tomorrow ~5–6 AM (60%).

Today: low 44°7° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°), high 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°).

Mostly agree

Now 48°9°

Cloudy

Wind
5 mph7 km/h
From the south-southeast. Light through 11 PM
Dew point
37°3°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
1Low
Low all day (peak 1)
Air quality
52Moderate
PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure
30.19 inHg1022 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.4 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (48°9° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for
  • Dry until 4 AM
  • High 54°12° today at 4 PM
  • Rain tonight 4–8 AM (60%, 0.14 in3.6 mm)
  • Dry break tomorrow 8–11 AM
  • Rain tomorrow 11 AM–11 PM (60%, 0.12 in3 mm)
  1. This afternoonUp to 54°12° by 4 PM · Cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 45°7° by midnight · Rain 4–6 AM (60%)
  3. Tomorrow morningNear 47°8° · Rain 6–8 AM (60%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 54°12° by 4 PM · Rain all afternoon (60%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Rain 6–11 PM (30%)
  6. Monday morningNear 46°8° · rain chance 10% · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 11aCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)46°8°5%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h82%86%1
Sat 12pCloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)48°9°5%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h78%95%1
Sat 1pCloudy51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)51°11°5%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h74%89%1
Sat 2pCloudy52°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)52°11°5%2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h70%80%1
Sat 3pCloudy52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)52°11°5%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h68%98%1
Sat 4pCloudy54°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)54°12°5%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h66%100%1
Sat 5pCloudy52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)52°11°5%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h68%88%1
Sat 6pCloudy51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)51°11°5%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h71%90%0
Sat 7pCloudy49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)49°9°5%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h76%93%0
Sat 8pCloudy47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)47°8°5%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h76%96%0
Sat 9pCloudy47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)47°8°5%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h78%98%0
Sat 10pCloudy46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)46°8°5%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h79%95%0
Sat 11pCloudy46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)45°7°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h81%100%0
Sun 12aCloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)44°7°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h84%99%0
Sun 1aCloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)44°7°10%, 0.02 in0.5 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h85%97%0
Sun 2aCloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)43°6°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h86%99%0
Sun 3aCloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)43°6°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h86%97%0
Sun 4aRain45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h85%61%0
Sun 5aRain45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°60%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h86%100%0
Sun 6aRain45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)44°7°60%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h85%98%0
Sun 7aRain44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)42°6°20%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h86%98%0
Sun 8aRain45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°20%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h87%100%0
Sun 9aDrizzle45°7° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)44°7°20%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h90%100%0
Sun 10aDrizzle47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)46°8°20%, 0.04 in1 mm3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h91%100%1
Sun 11aDrizzle48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)47°8°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h88%100%0
Sun 12pRain50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)49°9°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h86%100%1
Sun 1pDrizzle52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)52°11°60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph27 km/h82%100%1
Sun 2pRain53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)53°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h79%99%1
Sun 3pDrizzle53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)53°12°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h78%98%1
Sun 4pRain54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h78%96%0
Sun 5pRain53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)53°12°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h81%92%1
Sun 6pRain52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)52°11°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h83%92%0
Sun 7pCloudy50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)50°10°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h86%95%0
Sun 8pCloudy48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)48°9°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%99%0
Sun 9pRain47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)47°8°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h90%90%0
Sun 10pRain47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)47°8°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h89%90%0
Sun 11pRain47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)46°8°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h89%83%0
Mon 12aCloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h90%81%0
Mon 1aRain46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h91%70%0
Mon 2aRain46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h92%71%0
Mon 3aRain46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)44°7°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h93%87%0
Mon 4aRain45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°20%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h94%82%0
Mon 5aCloudy45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)44°7°10%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h94%86%0
Mon 6aMostly cloudy45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)43°6°10%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h94%85%0
Mon 7aCloudy45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)43°6°10%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h94%97%0
Mon 8aCloudy45°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)44°7°10%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h93%95%0
Mon 9aCloudy46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)45°7°10%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h93%91%0
Mon 10aMostly cloudy47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)46°8°10%3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%81%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 44°7°. Typical 58°14° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. South wind around 2 mph.

    Tonight: Rain likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South southeast wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 45°7°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 55°13°, low 45°7°. Typical 57°14° / 45°7°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 54°12°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 45°7°

      20% chance

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    49°9°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 45°7°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 57°14° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 55. North northwest wind around 3 mph.

    Night: A slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 45°7°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 57°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 53°12°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    52°11°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 44°7°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 54°12°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 44°7°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      70% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.08 in2 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 42°6°

      50% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    50°10°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 44°7°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 53°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 44°7°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      40% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 41°5°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53.

    Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    45°7°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 44°7°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 44°7°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 42°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    46°8°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 44°7°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 47°8°, low 35°2°. Typical 56°13° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 40°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    46°8°–48°9°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 44°7°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 41°5°. Typical 55°13° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    48°9°–51°11°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 43°6°
    Wind
    17 mph28 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 55°13° / 43°6°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 42°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 50°10°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 43°6°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 43°6°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 54°, low 44°.

  2. Tomorrow

    60% chance of rain, high 55°, low 45°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 55°, low 44°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 47–55°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SEW) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

South Fork Stillaguamish River at Jordan Rd. Bridge

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
201 ft
Flow
135 cfs

Forecast peak 202 ft Mon 4 AM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Snohomish River at Snohomish

9.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
9.2 ft

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Snohomish River at Ebey Slough

10 mi
Level
2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 7:35 AM · NWS gauge page

Pilchuck River near Snohomish

12 mi
Below flood stage
Level
9.9 ft
Flow
51 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 67% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 101

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
29
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Seattle Sand Point WFO · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1894–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
58°14° / 45°7°
Forecast high / low
54°12° / 44°7°
Record high
74°23° in 1901
Record low
35°2° in 1916

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −2°−1°SunOct 18
  2. +2°+1°MonOct 19
  3. +2°+1°TueOct 20
  4. +3°+1°WedOct 21
  5. ±0°ThuOct 22
  6. −1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Picnic Point weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:42 AM, sunset 6:04 PM.

Daylight
10 h 22 min
Losing 3 min 12 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 59 min less
Golden hour
5:20–6:23 PM
Morning 7:22–8:25 AM
Blue hour
6:23–6:35 PM
Morning 7:10–7:22 AM; first light 7:10 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 94% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:57 AM · rises 5:05 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking east from Picnic Point. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,700 ft, 66 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.