Owl Creek at Arapahoe Ranch
18 mi- Level
- 1.9 ft
- Flow
- 55 cfs
Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 5:35 AM MDT at KWRL
Lucerne, WY weather
Overcast and 37°3°, 9°5° colder than a typical Oct 24.
Today: low 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°), high 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°).
Now 37°3°
Cloudy · Feels like 32°0°
- Feels like
- 32°0°
- Wind chill from 7 mph11 km/h wind · air 37°3°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h
- From the southwest. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 5 PM
- Dew point
- 28°−2°
- Dry, static shocks likely
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
- Pressure
- 30.35 inHg1028 hPa
- Rising · +0.06 inHg+2.2 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This morningUp to 41°5° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 51°11° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 43°6° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 51°11° by 5 PM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 31°−1° by 4 AM · rain chance 10% · freezing, low 31°−1° · Mostly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5a | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 74% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 72% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 72% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 72% | 93% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Partly sunny | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 74% | 52% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Mostly sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 63% | 28% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Mostly sunny | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 53% | 24% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 45% | 21% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 42% | 55% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 41% | 51% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Mostly sunny | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 40% | 48% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Mostly sunny | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 42% | 35% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly sunny | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 45% | 50% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly clear | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 51% | 52% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Mostly clear | 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 54% | 57% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 59% | 78% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 62% | 79% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 64% | 78% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 67% | 67% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Partly cloudy | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 69% | 32% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Mostly clear | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 68% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 35°2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 70% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 33°1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 74% | 4% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 77% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 82% | 55% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 83% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 37°3°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 85% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Mostly cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 88% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°) | 33°1° | 10% | 1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 75% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 10% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 66% | 65% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Partly sunny | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 5% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 59% | 71% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Partly sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NNE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 53% | 75% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 51% | 73% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 49% | 71% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Mostly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 47% | 71% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 49°9° | 10% | 3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 47% | 58% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Showers | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°) | 51°11° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 49% | 49% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 10% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 53% | 63% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 48°9° | 10% | 2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 57% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Partly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 10% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 62% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 10% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 68% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 10% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 73% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 35°2° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 10% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 76% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 34°1° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 36°2° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 83% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 87% | 80% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 90% | 78% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 41°5°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 94% | 78% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 51°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 60°16° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 34°1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 51°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 29°−2°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 51. East northeast wind 1 to 7 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 31, with temperatures rising to around 37 overnight. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 51°11°–54°12°
- Low, likely
- 31°−1°–39°4°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 30°−1°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 29°−2°. Typical 60°16° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 28°−2°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly cloudy, 51°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 31°−1°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. North wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 50°10°–56°13°
- Low, likely
- 29°−2°–35°2°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 30°−1°
- Wind
- 7 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 31°−1°. Typical 59°15° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 36°2°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 59°15°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 48°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 39°4°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57. South southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. South southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 57°14°–61°16°
- Low, likely
- 31°−1°–39°4°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 30°−1°
- Wind
- 7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 57°14°, low 28°−2°. Typical 59°15° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 40°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 56°13°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 46°8°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 36°2°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow showers before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–58°14°
- Low, likely
- 28°−2°–43°6°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 29°−2°
- Wind
- 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 57°14°, low 30°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 34°1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 58°14°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 46°8°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 37°3°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 56°13°–60°16°
- Low, likely
- 30°−1°–38°3°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 29°−2°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 30°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 38°3°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 62°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 39°4°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 30°−1°–41°5°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 28°−2°
- Wind
- 14 mph22 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 40°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 62°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 40°5°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 56°13°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 32°0°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 28°−2°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 41°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 50°10°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 44°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 34°1°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 46°8°–56°13°
- Low, likely
- 28°−2°–43°6°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 28°−2°
- Wind
- 17 mph27 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 56°13° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 35°1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 48°9°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 40°5°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 33°0°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 46°8°–51°11°
- Low, likely
- 23°−5°–40°4°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 27°−3°
- Wind
- 21 mph34 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 56°13° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 35°2°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 50°10°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 41°5°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 39°4°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 32°0°–37°3°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 27°−3°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 51°, low 31°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 52°, low 29°.
Monday
Dry, high 57°, low 31°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 48–59°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (RIW) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Bighorn River above Worland
19 mi- Level
- 1.9 ft
- Flow
- 822 cfs
Reading from Sat 4:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Wind River below Boysen Reservior
20 mi- Level
- 3.2 ft
- Flow
- 419 cfs
Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 67% less heating than a typical week.
This week 48Typical 148
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 35
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).
Open the windows?
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Is this typical?
Thermopolis · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 9°5° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 60°16° / 30°−1°
- Forecast high / low
- 51°11° / 31°−1°
- Record high
- 78°26° in 1992
- Record low
- 6°−14° in 1925
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 11°6° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
- +4°+2°SunOct 18
- +9°+5°MonOct 19
- +10°+5°TueOct 20
- +10°+5°WedOct 21
- +15°+8°ThuOct 22
- +20°+11°FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Lucerne weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:38 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 36 min
- Losing 2 min 49 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:34–6:32 PM
- Morning 7:20–8:18 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:32–6:44 PM
- Morning 7:09–7:20 AM; first light 7:09 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 97% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:54 AM · rises 5:14 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
